北方地区不同等级干旱对春玉米产量影响

    Effects of different grade drought on grain yield of spring maize in Northern China

    • 摘要: 北方地区是中国主要的玉米种植区,在中国玉米总产和播种面积中占有较大比例,同时也是中国易发生干旱的地区,北方地区干旱常态化严重制约着该地区玉米的稳定发展。该文基于北方地区14个省(市、自治区)217个气象台站1961-2010年的逐日气象数据以及作物、土壤和田间管理资料,依据春玉米生长季内降水量并以100 mm为间隔将全区划分为6个区域(Ⅰ~Ⅵ),选取作物水分亏缺指数为农业干旱指标,基于验证后的农业生产系统模型(agricultural production systems simulator,APSIM),明确了各生育阶段不同等级干旱对春玉米产量的影响。研究结果表明,北方地区干旱造成春玉米减产率在空间上呈由西向东下降趋势,降水的空间分布直接导致了灾损程度在各区的差异,其中西部灌溉绿洲农业区雨养种植春玉米干旱风险非常大,需大力发展节水灌溉,而东部雨养农业区自然降水已基本满足春玉米生长发育需要,干旱对春玉米产量影响较小,在模拟过程中很难准确的反映出旱级对产量造成的差异影响。春玉米在拔节-抽雄阶段发生干旱会对产量造成比较严重的影响,该阶段4个等级干旱造成春玉米减产率的四分位区间分别为特旱(20.1%~33.6%)、重旱(12.0%~20.3%)、中旱(6.3%~15.2%)、轻旱(4.7%~11.6%)。

       

      Abstract: Abstract: Maize planting in northern region of China plays a vital role in the crop production in China, and it occupies a large proportion in total grain production and planting area in China. Meanwhile, northern region of China is prone to drought and the drought normalization happens in this area seriously, which restricts the steady development of maize. The data used in this paper included daily weather data of 217 meteorological stations in the 14 provinces (municipalities, or autonomous regions) in northern region of China from 1961 to 2010 and crop, soil, field management data of spring maize. Based on the total precipitation during the growing season of spring maize we divided the study area into 6 precipitation zones (Ⅰ-Ⅵ) with the interval of 100 mm, and then analyzed the effects of drought of different grades occurring in main growing stage on grain yield of spring maize in northern region of China by using the crop water deficit index as the agricultural drought index and the agriculture production systems simulator (APSIM) as the research method. The results showed that the yield reduction of spring maize caused by drought in northern region of China had a decreasing trend from west to east, and the precipitation distribution led to the differences of damage degree in each area directly. The precipitation during growing season of spring maize in Zone Ⅰ located in western region (including Xinjiang, western Inner Mongolia and northern Gansu) was below 100 mm, and the natural precipitation couldn't meet the need of growth and development of spring maize, so the drought risk of planting spring maize under rainfed conditions in western oasis irrigated agricultural area was great, and it needed to energetically develop water-efficient irrigation in this area. While the precipitation during growing season of spring maize in Zone Ⅵ located in southeastern region (including Southern Jilin, eastern Liaoning, southern Henan and southern Shaanxi) was above 500 mm, and the natural precipitation could meet the requirements of spring maize growth and development basically, so production in eastern rainfed agricultural area would be less affected by drought, and it was difficult to reflect the influence of drought grade difference on production accurately. In addition, the ratio of the station with yield reduction had a decreasing trend with the increasing of yield loss degree; from jointing to tasselling stage, the yield reduction in northern region of China was between 0 and 50%, and there were 37.3% of stations with the yield reduction of between 0 and 10%, and only 4.1% of stations with the yield reduction of between 40% and 50%. Drought happening from jointing to tasselling stage of spring maize will cause serious influence on grain yield, and the yield reduction in this stage is higher than that from tasselling to maturity stage. Besides, the discrete degree of yield reduction in this stage is also higher than that from tasselling to maturity stage. The influence degree of drought of each grade on crop production is different; from jointing to tasselling stage, the interquartile ranges of yield reduction caused by drought are extreme drought (20.1%-33.6%), severe drought (12.0%- 20.3%), moderate drought (6.3%-15.2%) and light drought (4.7%-11.6%), respectively.

       

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