基于模糊层次分析法的生物燃气产业竞争力评价模型及应用

    Using and molding of biological gas industry competitiveness evaluation based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process

    • 摘要: 随着中国能源需求的不断增长和环境保护的日益加强,生物燃气产业越来越受重视,对产业竞争力进行评价以了解地区生物燃气产业发展水平成为急需解决的问题。该文从规模、经济、技术、管理、可持续发展5个方面选择了22个指标,构建了生物燃气产业竞争力评价指标体系。基于层次分析法和模糊综合评判法,提出了生物燃气产业竞争力评价模型,并应用于北京市生物燃气产业竞争力评价。评价结果表明:规模竞争力在差的隶属度综合得分是0.49,制约因素主要是从业人员人数及气体总消费量。经济竞争力指标在中的隶属度综合评分是 0.65,制约因素主要是农民增收情况。技术竞争力指标在良的隶属度综合评分是0.54,制约因素主要是人才吸引力情况。管理竞争力指标在中的隶属度综合得分是0.54,制约因素主要有运营管理模式及技术安全管理水平。可持续发展竞争力指标在优的隶属度综合得分是0.51。北京市生物燃气产业竞争力属于中等水平,在废弃物资源化利用能力以及污染物减排方面具有明显优势,在科研投入、技术装备方面具有较高水平,在管理水平、经济效益、产业规模方面等方面处于中等或较差水平,需要进行完善和提升。模型很好的表征了北京市生物燃气产业的现状,研究结果可为北京市生物燃气产业发展提供依据。

       

      Abstract: Abstract: With the increase of China's energy demand and the enforcement of environmental protection, biological gas industry draws more and more attention. In order to understand biological gas industry development level, evaluation of industry competitivenesshas become an urgent problem. The analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method were applied to the evaluation of biological gas industry competition. 22 indices were adopted in order to construct an evaluation index system of biological gas industry competitiveness. The 22 indices included the scale competitiveness, economy competitiveness, technology competitiveness, manage competitiveness, sustainable development competitiveness in 5 aspects. A biological gas industrial competitiveness evaluation model based on the integration of analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to evaluate biological gas industry competitiveness in Beijing. The analytic hierarchy process was used to establish judgment matrix by the comparison of the relative importance of indicators, calculate and check each indicators, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation was applied to determine the evaluation set, construct the subordinate function of each indicator and single factor evaluation matrix. Then multiply the subordinate degree by the weight of each indicator,the evaluation result could be gained. The comprehensive utilization of analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method could solve the complicated multi-factor problem in decision making, thus not only overcome the issue of subjectiveness of analytic hierarchy process in handling hard-to-quantify indices, but also avoid the shortcoming of neglecting index weights with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. This study based on industry competitiveness content tried to build a comprehensive biological gas industry competitiveness evaluation model. It was used for the diagnosis of biological gas industry competitiveness, and verified through the Beijing. Evaluation results showed that the synthesis score of scale competitiveness in bad membership degree was 0.49, belongs to bad level,the restriction factor mainly was the number of practitioners and total gas consumption. The synthesis score of economic competitiveness in medium membership degree was 0.65, belongs to medium level, the restriction factor mainly was the situation of increasing farmers' income. The synthesis score of technology competitiveness in good membership degree was 0.54, which belonged to good level, the restriction factor mainly was the situation of talent attractiveness. The synthesis score of administrate competitiveness in medium membership degree was 0.54, which belonged to medium level, the restriction factor mainly was the operation management model at the level of technical safety management. The synthesis score of sustainable development competitiveness in excellent membership degree was 0.51, whicn belonged to excellent level. The biological gas industry competitiveness in Beijing belonged to medium level, whicn had obvious advantages in the aspect of waste resource utilization ability and pollutant emissions, and had high level in the aspect of scientific research investment and technology equipment, whicn had medium or poor level in the aspect of management level and economic benefits, industrial scale, etc. It need improve and promote more. The model reasonably well represented the status of biological gas industrial competitiveness in Beijing. The research results could provide the basis for biological gas industry development of Beijing.

       

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