天山北坡经济带城市土地集约利用评价及障碍因素分析

    Evaluation of intensive urban land use and analysis of obstacle factors in northern slope of Tianshan mountains

    • 摘要: 基于经济-社会-生态因素评价体系,运用最优组合赋权法和多因子综合评价法对城市土地集约利用进行评价。并通过引入协调度和障碍度模型对城市土地集约系统协调性和障碍因子进行分析,探索影响城市土地集约的主要障碍因素,为城市用地集约化发展提供理论参考。研究表明:1)研究区4市土地集约度在2008-2016年整体呈现上升趋势,集约度均值大小依次为克拉玛依市(0.562)>石河子市(0.532)>昌吉市(0.512)>乌鲁木齐市(0.476),均属于土地基本集约利用(Ⅲ),仍存在较大提升空间;2)土地集约度和协调度整体上表现出较强的相关性,“同增同减”现象明显,协调度均值大小依次为克拉玛依市(0.594)>昌吉市(0.591)>石河子市(0.502)>乌鲁木齐市(0.466);3)4市土地集约利用障碍度情况各不相同,但整体表现为经济障碍>社会障碍>生态障碍,生态因素障碍度持续降低。影响城市土地集约的指标层障碍因子存在一定区位差异,但整体以GDP为核心的经济指标和以人口为基础的社会指标为主要障碍因子。基于全局标准化的最优组合赋权法对土地集约利用的评价既保证了对比统一性,又反映了区位差异性,准确、有效地实现了对城市土地集约利用评价和障碍度因素的分析。

       

      Abstract: Land is the spatial carrier of a city’s society, economy and ecosystem. Intensive urban land use is an important means to improve land use efficiency, which is of great significance for optimizing the allocation of urban land resources and promoting the coordinated development of urban society, economy and ecology. In this manuscript, considering the regional characteristics, economic status and land use characteristics of the four cities (i.e. Urumqi, Karamay, Shihezi, and Changji) in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, we selected 16 indicators from three aspects of economic-society-ecological factors to establish an evaluation index system for intensive land use. In order to compare the intensive degrees between four cities, a global standardized data table (X' ij)16×9×4 was established by a multivariate standardization method, based on the original data of four cities' evaluation indicators, which provide a unified data base for the intensive use of land in the four cities on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains. In addition, the optimal combination weighting method was employed to assign weights for four cities' evaluation indicators, respectively, which was the integration of subjective weighting (AHP) and objective weighting (Entropy weighting method) via the Lagrange multiplier method. This approach of weighting gives consideration to the subjective and objective factors of the studied area and more accurately reflects the locational differences of different cities. On this basis, multi-factor comprehensive evaluation was taken to calculate the intensive degrees of four cities, and to evaluate the status of land intensive by the four-level evaluation criteria, i.e. highly intensive, moderately intensive, marginally intensive, and not intensive. Moreover, a coordination model based on benefit theory and balance theory, and an obstacle model were introduced to analyze the coherence and obstacle factors, respectively, and to explore the main obstacles that affected urban land intensive, aiming to provide guidance for the development of intensive urban land use. Our findings revealed that: (1) The intensity of land use in the four cities showed an overall upward trend from 2008 to 2016, the mean value of intensity were in the order of Karamay City (0.562) > Shihezi City (0.532) > Changji City (0.512) > Urumqi City (0.476). There was still much room for improvement in the marginal-intensive land use (III). (2) The degree of land intensity and coordination had a strong correlation with a consistent evolution trend generally. According to the average degree of internal coordination, rankings were Karamay City (0.594) > Changji City (0.591) > Shihezi City (0.502) > Urumqi City (0.466). (3) From the perspective of obstacles, the status of obstacles in the four cities varied, but the overall performance was economic obstacle > social obstacle > ecological obstacle, and the degree of ecological obstacle continued to decrease. There were certain regional differences in various obstacle factors affecting urban land intensive, but the GDP-based economic indicators and population-based social indicators were the main obstacles overall. The results indicated that the assessment of land intensive use based on the optimal combination weighting method not only guaranteed the unity of comparison, but also reflected the difference in location, thus achieving an in-depth analysis of the factors affecting obstacle degree and the evolution of urban land intensive use accurately and effectively.

       

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