耕地多功能耦合协调发展时空格局与驱动力分析

    Spatiotemporal pattern and driving force analysis of multi-functional coupling coordinated development of cultivated land

    • 摘要: 为促进耕地多功能区域协调发展,保障国家耕地资源安全,基于陕西省2010、2015和2019年社会经济面板数据,采用综合指数法、耦合协调度模型和地理探测器等方法,从耕地分等指标区视角分析陕西省各区县耕地生产、社会保障和生态功能及多功能耦合协调关系的时空变化格局,并探究耕地多功能耦合协调度的驱动机制。研究表明:1)2010 -2019年陕西省耕地生产功能整体呈现减弱趋势,且关中渭河平原区和陕南低山平坝区减弱明显;社会保障功能整体处于低值水平,总体上呈现先减弱后增强的趋势;生态功能整体呈现增强趋势,除陕南低山平坝区以高值水平和较高值水平分布外,其他各耕地分等指标区由低值水平向中值水平和高值水平发展。2)陕西省耕地多功能耦合协调程度整体以濒临失调和基本协调为主,随时间变化耕地耦合协调程度由低协调向高耦合状态转变,主要体现在陕北黄土丘陵沟壑区和陕南秦巴中高山区由失调衰退向濒临失调和基本协调发展,陕北长城沿线风沙区和商洛山地丘陵区由濒临失调向基本协调和高度协调发展。3)区域本底条件和城镇化水平是耕地多功能耦合协调度变化的主要和关键驱动因素,农业发展水平随时间变化解释力增强;各因子间存在交互作用,共同影响耦合协调度发展变化。研究结果为提高耕地利用水平、加强耕地"三位一体"保护和助力乡村振兴提供理论支持。

       

      Abstract: Abstract: This study aims to promote the multifunction coupling and coordinated development of cultivated land resources for national food security. The social and economic panel data was collected from Shaanxi Province of China in 2010, 2015 and 2019. A coupling coordination degree model was established to explore the spatial-temporal pattern using the comprehensive index method. The multi-functional coupling coordination relationships of cultivated land were also determined in various districts and counties from the perspective of classification index areas. A geographical detector was selected for the driving mechanism of multi-functional coupling and coordination degree of cultivated land. The results showed that: 1) There was a weakening trend in the overall production function of cultivated land from 2010 to 2019, particularly in the Weihe plain in the Central . There was a low-level function of social security, where the weakening of the Low-mountain and flat dam area in the Southern, while the significant enhancement for the northeastern part of the Loess hilly and gully region in the Northern, and the first weakening and then strengthening in the Loess plateau area in Northern River and the Weihe plain. There was an enhancing trend in the ecological function, where the classification index areas were developed from the low to the medium and high level, except for the high and higher level distribution in the Low-mountain and flat dam area in the Southern. 2) The multi-functional coupling and coordination level of cultivated land was mainly on the verge of maladjustment and basically coordination. There was a change with the time from the low coordination to high coupling state, where the transformation from the maladjusted recession to the verge of maladjustment and basically coordination were found in the Loess hilly and gully region in Northern, as well as the Qinba middle and high mountain area in the Southern, whereas, the Sandy area along the Great Wall in the Northern was developed from on the verge of maladjustment to the basic coordination and high coordination. 3) The key driving factors were determined the multi-functional coupling and coordination of cultivated land, including the slope, elevation, average annual precipitation in the regional conditions, the intensity of human activities, and road network density in the urbanization level. In addition, the explanatory power of agricultural development level was enhanced with the time, indicating the limited level of industrial development and the quality of business entities. There were also some interactions among the influencing factors, particularly for the two-factor and nonlinear enhancement between each factor. As such, these factors jointly determined the evolution of coupling coordination degree. The finding can provide the theoretical support to improve the level of cultivated land utilization, further to strengthen the 'trinity' protection of cultivated land in rural revitalization.

       

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