融合物联网多环境参数的茎干水分SSA-BP预测模型

    SSA-BP model for predicting water contents in stem integrating multiple environmental factors acquired via IoT

    • 摘要: 作为一种典型的生理水分参数,茎干水分与活立木内部水分平衡的维持、光合固碳及细胞代谢等的正常运转有紧密联系,对不同环境参数协同作用下的茎干水分较准确预测是必不可少的。为实现对生长季茎干水分变化特征及其影响因素进行解析,并构建茎干水分预测模型,该研究以常见绿化树种五角枫(Acer pictum subsp. Mono)为研究对象,搭建五角枫物联网生态信息监测系统,实现五角枫茎干水分和各环境参数的实时采集与在线显示,其中茎干水分变化情况由自主设计的基于驻波率原理的茎干水分传感器实时且无损获取。在此基础上,提出麻雀搜索算法(sparrow search algorithm,SSA)优化反向传播(back propagation,BP)神经网络即SSA-BP茎干水分预测模型,计算模型的决定系数(coefficient of determination,R2)、均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)和平均绝对误差(mean absolute Error,MAE)以评估其预测性能,与传统的BP模型及遗传算法(genetic algorithm,GA)优化BP即GA-BP模型的预测性能进行对比。结果表明:1)搭建的物联网生态信息监测系统可有效获取茎干水分及各环境参数;萌芽期和落叶期,茎干水分呈“昼升夜降”的变化趋势,生长期,茎干水分呈“昼降夜升”的变化趋势;2)SSA-BP模型的预测性能要优于GA-BP模型和BP模型,SSA-BP模型的R2为0.896~0.987,RMSE为0.314~12.971 mV,MAE为0.232~5.030 mV。该研究提出一种可行的茎干水分采集和预测方法,可为揭示植物茎干内部水分运移规律及其环境适应机制提供借鉴。

       

      Abstract: Stem is connected with the branches and leaves of the canopy upward in most trees. The water vapor of the stem can be exchanged with the atmosphere and then transferred to the canopy for the fixed photosynthetic products. Stem is also connected with the roots downward to transport water and inorganic salt in the soil into the important tissues of plants. Stem water content is one of the typical physiological water parameters for the maintenance of internal water balance, photosynthesis, carbon fixation, and normal cellular metabolism in standing living trees. An accurate prediction of stem water content is essential under the synergistic effects of different environmental parameters. In this study, the common urban tree species Acer pictum subsp. Mono was chosen as the research object. An Internet of Things (IoT) ecological information monitoring system was built to acquire the stem water content for the online display under various environmental parameters. A novel sensor was also designed to non-destructively collect the stem water content in real time, according to the principle of standing wave ratio. A systematic analysis was implemented to determine the variation in the stem water content at the growth stages, together with their correlations with the environmental parameters. An SSA-BP model was also proposed to predict the stem water content using the optimized back propagation neural network (BP) and the sparrow search algorithm (SSA). The root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) values of the model were calculated to evaluate the predictive performance, and to compare with the traditional BP model and the genetic algorithm (GA) optimized BP model. The results showed that the IoT ecological information monitoring system effectively obtained the stem water content and various environmental parameters. Among them, the stem water content gradually rose from the early hours of the morning to the peak at noon, and then began to decline during the germination and defoliation stages, indicating a significant pattern of "rising during the day and falling during the night". By contrast, the continuous increase of transpiration rate made the stem water content gradually drop to the valley value in the afternoon during the growth stage. Furthermore, the stem tissue began to rehydrate, as the transpiration weakened. Diurnal variation of stem water content presented an outstanding rhythm of "falling during the day and rising in the night". During the germination stage, the air temperature and soil moisture were the main influencing factors on the stem water content; During the growth period, the soil temperature and relative humidity were the determining factors; During the defoliation period, the highest correlation was found between stem water content and air temperature. The SSA-BP model shared the higher prediction accuracy for the stem water content during different growth stages, compared with the BP and GA-BP models. The SSA-BP model shared the higher prediction accuracy for the stem water content during different growth stages, compared with the BP and GA-BP models. Specifically, the R2 of the SSA-BP model was 0.896-0.987, the RMSE was 0.314-12.971 mV, and the MAE was 0.232-5.030 mV. The predicted values of stem water content were highly consistent with the measured ones. A feasible system can be expected to accurately predict the stem water content. The finding can also provide a strong reference to reveal the internal water transport of plant stems and their environmental adaptation in agricultural and forestry plants.

       

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