江苏高邮灌区水稻需水量时频域特征及影响因素分析

    Analysis of time-frequency domain characteristics and key factors of rice water demand in Gaoyou irrigation district of Jiangsu

    • 摘要: 水稻需水量研究面临多方面挑战,包括海量数据处理、时空尺度变化的复杂性,这使得采用单一方法难以捕捉其关键特征。因此,为解决单一方法难以捕捉水稻需水量变化的关键特征的困难,该研究提出了一种时域和频域相结合的需水量关键影响因素识别方法。利用Penman-Monteith公式,基于7个气象指数、4个环流指数,研究了高邮灌区1980—2021年水稻生育期内作物需水量(crop water requirement,ETc)和灌溉需水量(irrigation water requirement,IR)特征,并从时频域角度,综合Pearson相关性、小波、投影长度和M-K检验等分析方法,结合能量分区,提出了水稻需水量关键影响因素的分析方法,识别水稻需水量关键影响因素及变化趋势。结果表明:1)ETc和IR多年均值分别为532.88、285.04 mm/a;年际距平显示,ETc和IR在2000年由偏少向偏多转变;月度变化显示,每年8月需水量最高,10月最低;2)ETc和IR存在2个主能量区(I、II区),I区相对II区,时间尺度更大、周期更长;ETc在I、II区分别受到相对湿度、日照时长主导,其中相对湿度领先ETc约1/2周期,日照时长与ETc无相位差;IR在I、II区均受降水量主导,二者相位差均为1/2周期;3)从能量分区及相关性的分析结果来看,ETc的关键影响因素是日照时长和相对湿度,分别呈显著负相关和正相关;IR的关键影响因素是降水量,两者呈显著负相关。总体来看,ETc和IR与关键影响因素呈现了一种“主震有序、余震不断”的特点;4)ETc和IR呈现缓慢震荡上升趋势,在2005年后更为明显。研究提出的需水量关键影响因素识别方法,可为高邮灌区水稻及其他区域作物合理灌溉制度的制定提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Multiple challenges exsit in the study of rice water requirement (RWR), such as the handling of massive data and the complexity of spatio-temporal scale changes. These challenges make it difficult to capture key characteristics of RWR using a single approach. Therefore, to overcome these challenges, we proposed an innovative approach combining time-domain and frequency-domain for identifying the key influencing factors of water requirements in this study. The Penman-Monteith formula, based on seven meteorological indices and four circulation indices, was used to analyze the characteristics of RWR including crop water requirement (ETc) and irrigation water requirement (IR) during the rice growth period in the Gaoyou irrigation district from 1980 to 2021. From the perspective of time-frequency domain, this study integrated Pearson correlation analysis, wavelet analysis, projection length analysis, and M-K test methods, in combination with energy partitioning analysis, to propose a method for analyzing key influencing factors of RWR and identifying their variation trends. The results of the study showed as follows. 1) In terms of interannual variation, the multiyear mean of ETc and IR were 532.88 mm/a and 285.04 mm/a, respectively. Their variations ranged from 444.61 to 638.55 mm/a for ETc and 32.63 to 481.62 mm/a for IR. IR showed greater interannual variability than ETc. The interannual anomaly values analysis showed that ETc and IR transitioned from below average to above average around the year of 2000. And, the monthly variation during the rice growth period showed that RWR was the highest in August and the lowest in October each year. 2) Both ETc and IR had two main energy zones, namely Zone I and Zone II. Zone I had a larger time scale and longer periods compared to Zone II. For ETc, Zone I had cycles of 25-30 years, while short-period components in Zone II had cycles of 5-15 years. And for IR, the long-period signal components had cycles of 13-18 years, and the short-period components had cycles of 3-9 years. In Zones I and II, ETc was primarily influenced by relative humidity and sunshine duration, with relative humidity leading ETc by approximately half a cycle and sunshine duration showing no phase difference with it. IR was primarily influenced by precipitation in both Zones I and II, with a phase difference of half a cycle in both cases. 3) The analysis of energy partitioning and correlation results indicated that in Zones I and II, ETc was influenced by relative humidity and sunshine duration. Relative humidity led ETc by approximately half a cycle, while sunshine duration had no phase difference with ETc. IR was primarily influenced by precipitation in both zones, with a phase difference of half a cycle. ETc showed highly significant negative correlations with sunshine duration and positive correlations with relative humidity. IR was negatively correlated with precipitation. Overall, sunshine duration and relative humidity were identified as key influencing factors for ETc, while precipitation was the key factor for IR. Both ETc and IR showed a "main shock orderly, aftershocks continuous" pattern in relation to their key influencing factors. 4) Wavelet analysis revealed that ETc was currently in an upward trend after a period of low oscillation, while IR showed an upward trend from a trough. The M-K test results aligned with these findings, though they indicated that the upward trend was slow and accompanied by periodic fluctuations. The M-K mutation test identified abrupt changes around the year of 1990 for both ETc and IR. After that, both ETc and IR exhibited an increasing trend, which became more pronounced after the year of 2005. The research results provide a reference for the rice irrigation system in the Gaoyou irrigation district and enhance the reliability of identifying key influencing factors of RWR, offering significant application prospects in other regions or related fields.

       

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