粤北山区梯田撂荒空间分异特征与影响机制分析

    Spatial differentiation characterization and impact mechanisms of terrace abandonment in mountainous areas of Northern Guangdong

    • 摘要: 梯田是山区重要的耕地资源,但随着城镇化进程的推进,梯田撂荒现象愈发显著,揭示梯田撂荒的空间分异特征与影响机制能为山区梯田的可持续利用提供参考与借鉴。该研究构建分布特征指标体系,采用平均最近邻指数、独立样本T检验和二元logistics回归模型,基于土地边际化理论揭示梯田撂荒的分布特征、聚集模式、邻域效应与影响因素,并从“成本—收益”视角总结梯田撂荒的影响机制。结果表明:1)梯田撂荒具有明显的地形和区位梯度分布特征,坡度、高程和耕作高差越大,耕作距离、到最近道路距离越远,且离林地越近的梯田更容易遭到撂荒。2)耕作梯田与撂荒梯田的平均最近邻指数分别为0.295和0.349,两者均具有聚集特性,其中撂荒梯田的聚集程度较低。3)相较于撂荒坡耕地,撂荒梯田具有更强的邻域效应,在距撂荒地10m范围内梯田撂荒率超过60%。4)在地块尺度上,梯田是否撂荒受到梯田地块禀赋的影响,其中地形条件、耕作距离、形状指数等变量与梯田撂荒呈现正相关,梯田质量、地块连片度等变量与梯田撂荒呈现负相关。梯田撂荒的根本原因是城市化导致的农业务工成本上升,而梯田的地块禀赋会影响耕作的成本与收益进而促使农户做出撂荒决策,同时撂荒梯田的邻域效应将形成负反馈机制进一步促使梯田撂荒扩散。

       

      Abstract: Terraces are important cropland resources in mountainous areas, but with the advancement of urbanisation, the phenomenon of terrace abandonment has become more and more significant. Revealing the spatial differentiation characteristics and influence mechanism of terrace abandonment can provide reference for the sustainable use of terraces in mountainous areas. Cropland abandonment is an extreme phenomenon in the process of marginalization. Therefore, based on the perspective of cropland marginalisation, this paper constructs an indicator system of distributional characteristics, explores the characteristics of terraces abandonment-prone areas, and at the same time, adopts the average nearest-neighbour index and the independent samples t-test to reveal the aggregation characteristics and neighbourhood effect of terraces abandonment respectively. Finally, the impact mechanism of terrace abandonment is analysed based on the‘cost-benefit’perspective and a binary logistic regression model. The results show that: 1) Terraces are most vulnerable to abandonment if their slope, difference in height from settlements, the distance from settlements, elevation and distance from the nearest road are greater, but their distance from the terrace to the forested area is less. 2) The terraces in abandonment have aggregation characteristics, but the degree of aggregation is lower on the abandoned terraces than on the ploughed terraces, and it may be due to the fact that cultivated terraces need to be centralised in order to save as much labour cost as possible, and the process of abandonment usually starts with the most marginal terraces, which are more susceptible to wildlife encroachment. 3) Compared to abandoned sloping cropland, abandoned terraces have a stronger neighbourhood effect, with abandoned terraces being more affected by surrounding abandoned cropland. The impact of abandoned cropland on terrace abandonment generally occurs within a range of 100 m, and tends to decrease and level off when the range exceeds 100 m. The strongest impact of abandoned cropland on terrace abandonment occurs in the 10m range, where the abandonment rate of terraces is as high as 60 percent. 4) At the plot scale, whether terraces are abandoned or not is affected by the endowment of terraced plots, in which variables such as topographic conditions, the distance from settlements, shape of the plot and so on are positively correlated with terrace abandonment, and variables such as quality of terraces and size of the plot are negatively correlated with terrace abandonment. The root cause of terrace abandonment is that urbanisation and industrialisation lead to higher labour costs, forcing farmers to abandon less productive terraces. In this process, the endowment of a single terrace will affect the costs and benefits of farming, which will then prompt farmers to make a decision on whether to abandon the terrace or not. At the same time, the neighbourhood effect of abandoned terraces will form a negative feedback mechanism, further contributing to the spread of terrace abandonment. In the future, the introduction, research and development and upgrading of suitable machinery for farming should be emphasised in the management of terraces. At the same time, it is necessary to combine social capital to create a ‘production + culture and tourism’ terrace complex, and further improve the management system of terraces. We should also pay attention to the existence of regional differences and diversify the design of policies for the sustainable use of terraces.

       

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