长江中游城市群三生功能权衡尺度效应及影响因素

    Scale effects and influencing factors on production-living-ecological functions trade-offs in the Middle Reaches of Yangtze River urban agglomeration

    • 摘要: 准确理解跨时空尺度下三生功能权衡关系及其作用机制对于指导多尺度国土空间分级管控及推进区域性可持续发展至关重要。既有研究侧重基于地理格网或行政边界尺度开展定量研究,缺少对多尺度空间功能关系的考量。该研究以长江中游城市群为研究区,运用空间分析法、均方根误差法和贝叶斯网络模型,在格网(1 km×1 km、3 km×3 km、5 km×5 km)、乡镇、县域及市域行政单元共4类6级尺度下解析三生功能权衡关系的尺度效应及多尺度下影响因素作用差异。结果表明:1)长江中游城市群2010—2020年三生功能时空分异特征显著,生产、生活功能高值区集聚增强,生态功能水平基本稳定;2)三生功能权衡关系表现出明显的尺度依赖性特征。随着空间尺度的增加,三生功能配对组合间的权衡关系呈“V”型或“下降-上升-下降”型变化,其空间聚类特征呈现波动变化趋势且在乡镇单元尺度上空间自相关性最强。乡镇单元是尺度效应的拐点,功能配对组合表现出最弱的权衡关系,最利于实现国土空间优化管控;3)自然、社会经济和区位因子通过影响资源分配、需求变化和政策导向等共同作用于三生功能的权衡关系。不同尺度下权衡关系主导因素不尽相同,自然因素对微观尺度下权衡关系作用显著,行政单元尺度上三生功能强权衡关系主要归因于社会经济因子和区位因子。研究表明,乡镇单元可作为长江中游城市群空间规划的优先管控尺度,同时要制定差异化的国土空间多尺度分级管控策略,以加快实现城市群的高质量协调发展。

       

      Abstract: This study aims to explore the spatiotemporal evolution of the production-living-ecological functions. Their influencing factors were also evaluated to clarify the relationship among the production-living-ecological functions at multiple scales. The study area was taken as the urban agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River. The root mean square error (RMSE) and Bayesian network (BN) were used to reveal the scale response to the relationship among the production-living-ecological functions trade-offs and influencing factors. The influencing mechanisms were obtained in the study area from 2010 to 2020. The results showed that: 1) The increasing trend was found in the production and living functions of the urban agglomeration. The hot spots of production function were located along the development axis of the river. While the hot spots of living function were distributed in the three major metropolitan areas. The overall ecological function shared no significant change, whereas the spatial distribution of the pattern remained unchanged. 2) The trade-off relationship showed that the production-living-ecological functions shared the variable and complex interactions at multiple scales. The production-living-ecological functions trade-offs were characterized by the ‘V’-shaped evolution or ‘falling-rising-falling’ pattern with the expanding of the study scale. Among them, the township scale was the weakest and the most spatial autocorrelation between the production-living-ecological functions trade-offs. The priority scale of territorial space was selected as the township, which was one type of multi-provincial administrative unit. 3) More than 30% of high values were found in the production-living-ecological functions trade-offs at multi-scale. There was a relatively low synergy of the production-living-ecological functions. According to the human-land relationship and scale thinking, the influencing factors were determined, including natural resource allocation, socioeconomic demand, location, and policy orientation. There was a great variation in the dominant factors of the trade-off relationship at multiple scales. Natural resources played a significant role at the micro scale. While the socioeconomic and locational factors were attributed to the strong trade-off relationship of the production-living-ecological functions at the administrative unit scale. The influencing factors varied significantly at different scales. The socioeconomic factors were also dominated at the full scale. Subsequently, the optimal regulation can be realized on the territorial spatial management and control at various levels. The findings can provide theoretical support to promote sustainable development in this region.

       

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