旱区荒漠生态系统结构与功能稳定性监测及适应性治理

    Monitoring and evaluation of structural and functional stability and adaptive governance in dryland desert ecosystems

    • 摘要: 中国“三北”等生态工程在荒漠化防治中取得显著成效,但在全球气候变化与人类活动干扰加剧背景下,如何深化对旱区荒漠生态系统非线性临界阈值及其稳定性的认识,防止不可逆的退化,是目前所面临的严峻挑战。因此,该研究面向新时期“三北”工程发展需求,构建了旱区荒漠生态系统结构-功能稳定性监测及适应性治理体系。通过梳理目前国内外在荒漠生态系统类型、结构、功能量化,非线性演变过程,临界阈值及治理方面的进展,厘清存在的问题及需求,提出多尺度适用的旱区荒漠生态系统稳定性监测及适应性治理总体框架和关键技术。该框架包含了完善荒漠生态系统“空天地网”协同监测体系与方法,量化荒漠生态系统景观格局、组成结构、关键功能;解析多压力胁迫下“格局—结构—功能”非线性协同演化机制;融合稳态转换理论与吸引盆地模型,识别结构与功能突变阈值,建立“健康–过渡–退化”状态分区预警体系;开展状态分区下的稳定性评估和多情景模拟,揭示功能和稳定性关键调控因子,提出分区适应性治理路径。该研究有望推动荒漠生态管理从“静态管控”向“弹性调适”转型,为中国“三北”等生态治理工程提质增效与国家生态安全屏障建设提供支撑。

       

      Abstract: Dryland can cover about 40% of the land area in China. The dryland has been widely used to regulate the regional climate, biodiversity, and local livelihoods in current ecosystems. However, the spatially heterogeneous and environmentally sensitive dryland can also make the highly vulnerable to climate change and human disturbance. The biophysical structure and ecological processes can fundamentally shape their functional integrity, which in turn can influence both global environmental and socioeconomic change. Fortunately, the large-scale desertification control programs have been launched to meet the national requirements for the ecological civilization and high-quality development, such as the "Three-North Shelterbelt" Program. Significant progress has been achieved to improve the vegetation cover and restore the degraded land. However, it is still challenging to assess the adaptive capacity, functional stability, and resilience of these ecosystems under growing climate variability and human pressure. In this study, an integrated monitoring and adaptive governance framework was developed to synergistically improve the ecological function and stability in dryland desert ecosystems. A systematic review was also conducted on the recent classification of the desert ecosystem, structural-functional dynamics, nonlinear behaviors, critical thresholds, and adaptive governance. Research gaps were then identified, including thematic fragmentation, static assessments, and oversimplified interpretations of complex interactions. The nonlinear ecological and multi-factor synergies were achieved to enhance the scientific findings. Four themes were selected in the research framework: remote sensing monitoring of desert ecosystems, mechanistic analysis of ecosystem evolution, identification of nonlinear thresholds, and multi-scenario adaptive governance for the function and stability enhancement. Some approaches were incorporated into the framework, such as the coordinated “space-air-ground-web” observation network, spectral mixture analysis for the fine-scale component extraction, nested ecosystem typology mapping, and multi-functional metric development. It also included the nonlinear time-series analysis, mechanism modeling, structure–function state diagnosis, tipping point detection, dynamic zoning, stability assessment, multi-scenario simulation, and adaptive strategy. Together, these techniques were utilized to clarify the evolutionary mechanisms of the landscape patterns, key structures, and functional attributes in dryland ecosystems. Accurate identification of the critical thresholds was also realized after optimization. An early-warning system was integrated to classify the ecosystem states into the “healthy,” “transitional,” and “degraded” categories, thus supporting the targeted monitoring. The reflexive and learning-enabled governance was allowed for the continual adaptation using real-time monitoring and predictions. There was also the shift from static and uniform management toward dynamic, context-sensitive, and resilient governance in drylands. This approach can offer a scientific basis to develop the region-specific pathways for high stability and adaptive governance. This finding can also provide a scalable and transferable framework in order to improve the effectiveness of the ecological restoration for the national ecological security. The insights are also relevant for the arid land worldwide, especially in the context of environmental uncertainty and global climate.

       

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