计算机信息—决策系统与知识工程

    INFORMATION—DECISION SYSTEMS AND KNOWLEDGE ENGINEERING

    • 摘要: 科学的决策是基于对各种信息的分析而做出的。统计数字、实测数据、数学模型是科学分析的依据,但是统计数字有误差或方差,数据有偶然性,数学模型只是客观世界的近似。人们的经验或知识往往是定性的、粗糙的、不准确或具有一定弹性。但是经验或知识也是累积而来的,也反映了一定的客观性。怎样把人们的经验/知识所提供的信息引入科学的决策是本文要讨论的问题。

       

      Abstract: Decision making is based on the analysis of information obtained from different sources.Statistical data,measured data and mathematical models are used for scientific analyses. But data have deviations and mathematical models are only the approximations of the real world, thus the information from them are incomplete. The accumulated experience/knowledge of experts are usually qualitative, imprecise or flexible,but they also reflect the objeective world to a certain degree. This paper discusses the possible methods of introducing the experience/knowledge into decision making.

       

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