基于县域的地膜覆盖粮食增产潜力分析

    Analysis of potential of grain yield increase under film-mulching condition on a county scale

    • 摘要: 根据中国各地区1999~2001年地膜使用量和作物产量,以小麦、玉米、水稻3种主要粮食作物为研究对象,在调查单位播种面积地膜使用量的基础上,求得全国各县的地膜覆盖率;在此基础上,通过文献资料收集整理3种作物的地膜增产率,求出地膜覆盖单位播种面积的粮食增产潜力。研究表明:中国的地膜覆盖率大多在1%~10%的范围内,粮食单位播种面积增产潜力大多在1000~1500 kg/hm2范围内,但是各地区的差异较大,而地膜覆盖率相对较低和增产潜力相对较大的县主要集中在中国的东部和中部地区。因此,今后一段时间中国地膜应重点考虑投入东部和中部地区。最后,在此基础上,设定两种合理的情景假设,预测了中国总的粮食增产潜力。

       

      Abstract: According to the total amount of plastic film consumption and grain yields and total sown area of wheat, corn and rice from 1999 to 2001 in each county of China, the regional differences in film-mulching rate and potential of grain yield increase by plastic films application were computed and analyzed. Results of the study were concluded as follows: First, the film-mulching rate in most of the counties varied from 1% to 10%; The potential of grain yield increase per sowing area in most counties varied from 500 kg/hm2 to 1500 kg/hm2. Second, the spatial difference of the film-mulching rate and potential of grain yield increase is distinct, the counties with the relatively low film-mulching rate and relatively high potential of grain yield increase centre in Eastern and Central Regions of China mainly. It is concluded that more plastic films should be used in the Eastern and Central Regions to improve China grain productivity. Finally, under the rational hypothesis of the increase of film-mulching rate, the potential of grain yield increase of the whole country was estimated.

       

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