作物种植面积空间对地抽样方法设计

    Spatial sampling design for crop acreage estimation

    • 摘要: 传统的粮食作物种植面积估算一般采用目录抽样方法,由于缺乏现实、有效的先验知识,抽样过程受精度和效率制约。本文利用地理信息系统、遥感和全球定位系统技术,结合传统的随机、系统和分层抽样方法,设计三种新的粮食作物种植面积空间对地抽样方案,并在此基础上开展试验对比研究,分析它们在抽样精度、最少样本量和稳定性方面的差异。结果表明,本文所设计的空间分层抽样方法所需样本量较小,且具有较高的估算精度和稳定性,可以用于大范围农作物种植面积监测。

       

      Abstract: Catalogue sampling has been used in conventional estimation of crop areas. But it is restricted by precision and efficiency because of the absence of realistic and effective transcendental knowledge. By combining random sampling, systematic sampling and stratified sampling, three new spatial sampling schemes were designed for crop area estimation based on the technologies of Geographic Information System, Remote Sensing and Global Positioning System. The differences of these three spatial sampling methods were synthetically analyzed on precision, stability and the smallest sample size. The experimental results show that spatial stratified sampling needs fewer samples and has higher estimation precision and stability. So this method can be popularized in the estimation of large scale crop areas.

       

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