大都市区农户耕地利用及对粮食生产能力的影响

    Cultivated land use of peasant households in metropolitan suburbs and its effect on grain production capacity

    • 摘要: 该文选取北京市为例,以1980~2005年农产品成本收益数据和相关农业统计数据为基础资料,基于新古典经济学和农户经济学对大都市区农户耕地利用进行解释,并探讨其对耕地粮食生产能力的影响。研究表明,大都市区农户耕地利用行为特征为更多选择种植蔬菜、西瓜等集约边际较高的作物,部分农户也会选择粗放利用方式。其耕地利用变化表现为北京市1980年以来粮食作物播种面积先增加后大幅减少,且集约度相对较低。而农户的土地利用目标呈现阶段性变化,从追求粮食产量最大化到粮食产量和利润最优化的双重目标再到更多地关注耕地效益,追求利润最大化,农户粮食作物的选择意愿先增高后降低,这对耕地实际粮食生产能力影响很大。引入粮食单产变动指数对1978~2005年北京市各区县耕地粮食生产能力变化分析,呈现同样阶段性变化。

       

      Abstract: Based on the cost-income data of agricultural product and relative agricultural statistic data during the period 1980~2005, the paper has discussed the characteristics of peasant household cultivated land use behavior in metropolitan suburb, the according land use changes and it’s effect on grain productive capacity taking Beijing as an example, The results show:peasant households would like to implant more cash crops which has topper intensive margin, such as watermelon, vegetable, which is the most important characteristic.And some would choose extensive land use pattern. Land use change has presented that the sown areas of grain crops in Beijing increased, then decreased, and the intensity index is also low.Because land use objectives of peasant household have stage-changed, at first seeking for grain production maximization, then seeking for optimization of grain production and profit, at last seeking for profit maximization. The peasant household choice will of grain crops increased, and then decreased, which has a great impact on cultivated actual grain productivity. At last, the paper analyzed grain yield per hectare of every county in Beijing from 1978 to 2005, which has also stage-changed.

       

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