基于光谱反射信息的作物单产估测模型研究进展

    Research progress in crop yield estimation models based on spectral reflectance data

    • 摘要: 及时准确地估测区域作物单产信息,对于粮食安全预警、粮食贸易流通,以及农业可持续发展都具有非常重要的意义。基于光谱反射信息的遥感技术,能够实时获取作物和土壤在不同时间和空间尺度下的分布信息,为区域作物单产估测研究提供了新的机遇和挑战。在简单介绍作物反射光谱特性和作物单产影响因素的基础上,分经验模型、半经验半机理模型和机理模型三部分,详细论述了基于光谱反射信息的作物单产遥感估测模型的国内外研究进展,并指出基于作物生长机理模型与多时相遥感信息同化技术的研究,应该是未来区域作物单产估测的重要发展方向之一。今后应该重点加强作物冠层关键参数(如叶面积指数、叶绿素浓度、作物吸收光合有效辐射系数、植被覆盖率等)的定量反演研究,同时加强多源遥感数据替代和整合技术研究,以及作物模型与遥感信息同化关键技术研究,以进一步改善单产估测精度和提高系统可运行性。

       

      Abstract: Accurate and timely estimation or prediction of crop yield at a regional scale is critical for many applications such as food security warning system, agricultural land management, food trade policy and carbon cycle research. Remotely sensed data can provide the spatial and temporal information of land surface at various scales, and are an attractive tool for assessment of the magnitude and variation of crop condition parameters. Thereby, spectral reflectance data (400~2500 nm) have become the primary source for crop yield estimation at a regional level. This paper introduces the theory and basic principles of crop spectral reflectance and the impact factors for crop yield, firstly. Then, it presents an overview of different methods that can be used to estimate crop yield at a regional scale from optical remote sensing data in the VNIR-SWIR regions. The overview is based on an extensive literature review, where three methods are discussed: empirical methods, semi-empirical methods, and mechanistic methods. Among these methods, the assimilation of reflective remote sensing data into crop growth model is thought to be of increasing importance for crop yield assessment. The studied literature reveals that many valuable models have been developed for the crop yield estimation by using spectral reflectance data. However, for improving the estimation accuracy and developing operational system in the near future, emphasis must be put on deriving biophysical and biochemical canopy state variables by statistical-empirical and physically based approaches, and on the fusion of remote sensing data with different spatial, temporal, spectral and angular resolutions, and on assimilating remotely sensed data into crop growth model.

       

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