基于DSS的1978-2005年中国区域农田生态系统氮平衡

    Nitrogen balance in agro-ecosystem in China from 1978 to 2005 based on DSS

    • 摘要: 该文建立了养分平衡决策支持系统,并利用该系统对中国国家及分省层次上的农田生态系统氮养分平衡情况进行了研究。研究表明:1)从1978到2005年,全国氮素养分盈余量不断上升,从1978年的1054.66×104 t一直上升到2005年的2867.12×104 t,平均年增量约为64.7×104 t;2)区域之间氮素盈亏量存在着显著差异。粮食主产区的省份如山东、河南和四川的养分氮盈余量一直都较高,而西部省份如新疆、西藏等养分氮盈余量较低。中国粮食主产区农田生态系统氮素平衡呈现出持续盈余且逐年上升的态势,显示出以化肥氮为主体的氮素养分投入量已经长时间高于作物的需求量,这些盈余的氮素养分在农田中累积,并通过多种途径进入到水体及大气环境中,不但造成了氮素化肥的浪费,更会对环境造成较大的压力。

       

      Abstract: A nutrient balance decision support system (DSS) in agro-ecosystem was constructed. Based on DSS, the status quo and historical trend of nitrogen balance was analyzed in both county level and province level. The results showed that: 1)nitrogen surplus displayed an upward trend from 1978 to 2005, which increased from 10.55 million tones in 1978 to 28.67 million tones in 2005. Increase rate reached 64.7×104 t/a; 2)there were significant inter-provincial differences. In general, the nitrogen surplus in main cereals producing provinces such as Shandong, Henan and Sichuan kept a long-term high level. Contrarily, the provinces located in northwest China or southwest China such as Xinjiang and Tibet had a low nitrogen surplus for a long time. The long-term and increasing nitrogen surplus of agro-ecosystem in major cereal product areas of China showed that nitrogen input, mainly from chemical fertilizer, was far more than nitrogen demand for crops. The surplus nitrogen accumulated in field will discharge into water body and atmosphere by many different processes, which will cause the waste of nitrogen resources and potential environmental risk.

       

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