基于支持向量回归(SVR)和多时相遥感数据的冬小麦估产

    Active solar heating system with soil heat storage for plastic film greenhouse and its effects

    • 摘要: 发展和构建高精度的作物遥感估产模型,对于国家制订粮食进出口政策和保障粮食安全具有重要意义。尝试利用支持向量回归方法(SVR)构建遥感估产模型,首先利用北京郊区2004年和2007年冬小麦主要生育期多时相Landsat TM影像生成的归一化植被指数,通过SVR构建遥感估产模型进行产量估算。然后针对模型的稳健型和预报能力进行交叉验证,并与常规的多元回归方法进行对比。结果表明,利用SVR方法构建的遥感估算模型有效地提高了估算精度,与多元回归方法相比,2004年和2007年决定系数分别提高0.2162、0.2158,均方根误差分别降低0.1682、0.2912。因此基于SVR和多时相遥感数据构建估产模型用于冬小麦估产是可行、有效的,为应用多时相遥感数据进行冬小麦估产提供了一种方法。

       

      Abstract: Developing and establishing high accurate models for crop yield estimation using remote sensing is of great significance in decision making for national food import/export and food security. A machine learning methodology called support vector machine regression (SVR) was introduced to construct remote sensing estimation model. Firstly, NDVIs from multi-temporal Landsat TM for main growing stage of winter wheat in 2004 and 2007 in Beijing suburb were used to construct yield estimation model by remote sensing through SVR. Secondly, cross validation was made on the model’s stability and forecasting ability, and then the performance of SVR methodology was compared with traditional multivariate linear regression (MLR) methodology. The results showed that yield estimation model by remote sensing based on SVR could increase the precision of yield prediction. The determination coefficients were increased by 0.2162 and 0.2158, respectively, while the root mean squared errors were decreased by 0.1682 and 0.2912 in 2004 and 2007 compared with the multivariate regression methodology. Therefore, it is feasible and effective to estimate winter wheat yield by constructing estimation model based on SVR and multi-temporal remote sensing data,which provides the method to estimate the winter wheat yield via multi-temporal remote sensing data.

       

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