Abstract:
China is the largest food consumption country in the world. With the social and economic development, China’s food security has become a global attention. Grain security research involves many uncertain factors: as well as quantitative and qualitative information. In order to get the grain security status comprehensively, we proposed a method to evaluate risk in grain security based on multifactor information fusion. In the method, the quantitative and qualitative information were used to construct the basic probability assignment, and the attribute weights was got based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process method. After that, the multifactor fusion results were got based on the Dempster combination rule. The effectiveness of the method was verified with a numeric example that the data comes from the yearbook of China in 2007. The Results show that the method is effective and can correctly reflect the grain safety warning degrees.