基于空间吻合性的土地利用总体规划实施评价方法及应用

    Method of implementation evaluation on general land use planning and its application based on spatial concordance

    • 摘要: 为了研究定量评价土地利用总体规划实施效果的有效方法,该文首先界定了基于空间吻合性的土地利用总体规划实施评价概念和内涵,从地类图斑、功能区、区域3个层面分别构建了面向规划执行过程和规划执行结果的空间吻合度度量模型,并制定了相对应的空间吻合度分级标准;然后以江苏省南通市通州区为例进行了案例研究。结果表明,该模型能够较好的评价土地利用总体规划实施过程中每年的实施结果与规划目标的空间吻合性,及时发现数量和空间上的不吻合及其原因,指导土地利用总体规划的进一步实施。该研究可为土地利用总体规划过程性评价提供参考依据。

       

      Abstract: The planning and implementation stages are crucial parts of the whole research process. Monitoring implementation effects can provide necessary evidence for planning adjustment and revision. Degree of spatial goodness is an effective way to monitor implementation effects of the overall land plan. This paper defines the concept of implementation evaluation on general land use planning using the spatial goodness method to find an effective and quantitative method,. The general idea is to make an objective evaluation and summary of the spatial and temporal effects of the planning implementation process and results in an evaluation year. This concept has two parts, 1) evaluation of planning implementation process in a year and 2) evaluation of planning implementation outcome in the same year. Spatial goodness in the planning process is the level of agreement between land use spatial variation and planning objectives. Spatial goodness in planning implementation results refers to the degree of agreement between the current situation and planning. A spatial goodness model was constructed in three levels: land class spot, functional areas, and region. Spatial goodness was positive between 0-1 (the closer to 1, the higher the agreement). Furthermore, a grading scale of spatial goodness was specified. In evaluating the planning implementation process, a spatial goodness of 1 means spatial change met with planning, otherwise it did not meet. For evaluation of planning implementation outcome, the standard of spatial goodness was divided into five classes of spaces varied from consistent with the degree of spatial goodness=1 to not fully comply with planning objectives (which was a ideal state achieved in the end of planning implementation). When the degree of spatial goodness is less than 1, there is distance between planning implementation outcome and planning objectives, and it was then divided into four grades. To examine this method’s practical applicability, Tongzhou district in Nantong city, Jiangsu Province, was used as an example for an empirical research. Results in different levels and different objects were very different. From the planning and implementation process, land adjustment of cultivated land, garden plot and other agricultural land did not meet the planning scheme because their spatial goodness was less than 1. In functional areas, land adjustment in agricultural land was not complying with planning because the spatial goodness of agricultural regions was less than 1. In the regional category, the spatial goodness was 0.9995, less than 1, which meant the implementation outcome was not in line with the planning, which was also related to the adjust in agricultural areas not meet with planning. From planning implementation outcomes, spatial goodness in land class diagrams spot level varied widely. In functional areas, only scenery tourist spatial goodness fit with the planning, when its spatial goodness was 1, the other four functional areas were all in lower grades 4-5. It also meant that there was still a large gap between outcome and ultimate goal. Parts planned but unimplemented were still more. With the continuous process of planning implementation, outcomes of various functional areas needed further study. In the regional level, spatial goodness between status and planning was 0.7739, at a lower level 5. Further monitoring was needed on planning implementation outcomes with the development of planning implementation. The results showed that this model can better evaluate spatial goodness between implementation result and planning goal during the implementation progress of general land use planning. Not only quantity and space non-goodness but also reasons could be found timely, which is a good guide for further implementation.

       

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