Abstract:
Abstract: To expand the scale of agricultural management through farmland transfer is the key solution to the problem that "who will be engaged in agriculture in the future". It is of positive significance to expand the scale of agricultural management by decomposing the impact of each factor on farmland transfer and identifying the dominant factors. Taking 30 provinces in China as sampling units, and adopting the logarithmic mean weight Division method (LMDI), the farmland transfer was decomposed into 4 factors, i.e., economic factor, farmer's income factor, management willingness factor, and agricultural mechanization factor. On the basis of the LMDI model, the effect and accumulated effect of each factor were explored. The results proved that: 1) The farmland transfer area increased by 2.7 times, an increase of up to 1.96?107 hm2 from 2008 to 2014 in China, and the average annual growth rate reached 24.40%. The rate of farmland transfer increased by 21.52% in total, and increased by 3.16%, 2.66%, 3.19%, 3.40%, 4.46% and 4.66% respectively from 2008 to 2014. The farmland transfer in Beijing-Tianjin region, Huang-Huai-Hai region, middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River region and northeastern China was developing rapidly as the result of economic activity or agricultural advantage. 2) The accumulated effects of economic factor, farmer's income factor, management willingness factor and agricultural mechanization factor were 11.12%, 3.90%, -11.66% and 18.16%, respectively. Among the 4 factors, economic factor, farmer's income factor and agricultural mechanization factor had significant positive effects on farmland transfer; in addition, the positive effects of farmer's income factor and agricultural mechanization factor increased year by year. Agricultural mechanization factor had the biggest positive effect, because the large-scale agricultural management must rely on technological innovation of agricultural production to reduce costs and improve production efficiency. Management willingness factor had a significant negative effect, because farmers' income mainly came from non-agricultural income in China, and was mainly used to improve their quality of life, the willingness of agricultural production investment was not strong. 3) There were obvious differences among the 4 factors' effects at the province level in China. The effect of economic factor was to promote the farmland transfer rate to increase significantly in the eastern China and southern China. In addition, the farmland transfer rate has been increased at most in the Yangtze River Delta region, because farmers prefer to work in non-agricultural industries rather than stay in the countryside in order to obtain higher incomes. The farmer's income effect was mainly to promote the farmland transfer in the eastern China where the farmers gain more benefits in the economic development and have more social security. The effect of agricultural mechanization factor was to promote the land transfer rate to increase by more than 10% in most areas of China, but it was relatively low in the southern China and southwestern China, where the terrain is mainly hills and mountains, the infrastructure of farmland is weak, so it was difficult for agricultural machine to replace manpower, and the opportunities of land transfer were fewer. This paper gets the main influencing factors of farmland transfer in different regions of China, which can be a reference for the differentiation of support policy.