中国主要稻作区水稻生产气候资源的时空特征

    Spatial and temporal characteristics of rice production climatic resources in main growing regions of China

    • 摘要: 中国地域广大,水稻生产气候资源分布的时空差异给中国水稻生产带来了较高的不确定性。基于中国主要稻作区333个气象台站1961~1970年(1960s)和1996~2005年(2000s) 2个10 a历史时期的逐日气象资料,使用ANUSPLIN软件包生成栅格化的逐日气象要素表面值;然后基于栅格逐年计算并比较了2个历史时期水稻生育期内主要气候资源(总日照时数、总有效积温、平均气温日较差、总降水量、总降水天数和平均降水强度)的时空分布特征。结果表明,同1960s相比,2000s中国主要稻作区水稻生育期内的平均总日照时数减少了11.93%,东北、西南地区减少的幅度小于中部和南方;平均总有效积温增加了9.40%,东北和西南地区增加的幅度大于中部和南方,但是在中部和南方存在总有效积温减少的地区;平均气温日较差减少了4.86%,东北和西南地区减少的幅度大于中部和南方,但在中部和南方地区亦存在部分增加的区域;总降水量增加了1.59%,平均降水强度增加了3.22%,平均降水强度的变化率在空间分布上与总降水量基本一致,东北地区和宁夏回族自治区总降水量和平均降水强度呈降低的趋势,而中部和南方大部分地区呈增加的趋势;平均总降水天数减少了1.60%,东北地区和中部地区的降低幅度要小于南方沿海地区。该研究结果为进一步分析中国主要稻作区的水稻增产潜力及增产途径提供了技术支撑。

       

      Abstract: The climate resources during rice-growing periods in main growing regions of China are highly uncertain because of its vast area and marked variation. The daily meteorological data during the years from 1961 to 1970 (1960s) and 1996 to 2005 (2000s) of 333 weather stations in main rice growing regions of China were processed to generate the gridded daily meteorological surface data using ANUSPLIN and ARCGIS. The spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the climate resources for the rice production, including total sunshine hours, total growing degree days above 10℃, average difference of diurnal air temperature, total precipitation, total rainfall days and average daily precipitation during rice-growing periods between two decades (1960s and 2000s) were calculated and analyzed based on the grid cell. As compared with 1960s, the total sunshine hours in rice-growing periods of 2000s decreased by 11.93%, and the decreasing rates of total sunshine hours in the Northeast and Southwest China were lower than those in the Middle and South China. From 1960s to 2000s, the total growing degree days above 10℃ increased by 9.40%, and the increasing rates of total growing degree days above 10℃ in the Northeast and Southwest China were faster than those in the Middle and South China. However, in part areas of the Middle and South China, the total growing degree days above 10℃ during rice-growing periods decreased. The average differences of diurnal air temperature during rice-growing periods of 2000s decreased by 4.86% as compared with 1960s, while increased in part areas of the Middle and South China. The decreasing rates of average difference of diurnal air temperature in the Northeast and Southwest China were higher than those in the Middle and South China. Compared with 1960s, total precipitation during rice-growing periods in 2000s increased by 1.59% and average daily precipitation increased by 3.22%. The spatial distribution of the change rate of average daily precipitation was similar to that of total precipitation, the total precipitation and average daily precipitation decreased in Ningxia province and the Northeast China, while increased in the Middle and South China. Compared with 1960s, the total rainfall days during rice-growing periods of 2000s decreased by 1.60%, and the decreasing rates of total rainfall days in the Northeast and Middle China were lower than that in the South China. These results can provide the technical support for further analysis of yield increasing potential and yield increasing method of rice in China.

       

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