县域农村居民点整理的潜力测算与时序分区

    Potential calculation and time-series zoning for rural residential land consolidation at county scale

    • 摘要: 农村居民点整理工作关系到区域转型与城乡统筹发展,而充分调动相关行为主体的积极性则是其关键。该文以如皋市为例,依据政策指标法测算各镇农村居民点整理的现实潜力,并基于时间管理优先矩阵构建农村居民点整理优先度判别矩阵,提出反映农村居民点整理的相对重要性与紧迫性的区域重要性指数与紧迫性指数及评价方法,从各镇开展农村居民点整理工作的相对重要性和紧迫性程度出发对如皋市20个镇进行农村居民点整理的优先度进行判别,并进行时序分区,并针对各分区提出统筹建议。结果表明:1)如皋市未来9 a农村居民点整理的现实潜力为14 859.87 hm2,占现有农村居民点面积的46.73%和理论整理潜力的56.71%,各镇现实整理潜力之间具有明显差异,以长江镇和如城镇为最大,均超过1 000 hm2;2)如皋市20个乡镇可被划分为优先整理区、次先整理区、后先整理区和末先整理区4类,其中优先整理区现实整理潜力达3 598.04 hm2,次先整理区为926.87 hm2,后先整理区达4 539.31 hm2,末先整理区为5 435.64 hm2,仅优先整理区和次先整理区的总现实整理潜力就能满足如皋市未来9 a发展可能的建设用地需求;3)建议对优先整理区农村居民点整理项目予以资金扶持与指标倾斜,对次先整理区予以指标激励,对后先整理区政策引导与资金扶持并重,而对末先整理区以政策引导为主即可。该研究在一定程度上调动县、镇2级政府进行农村居民点整理的积极性,为区域农村居民点整理规划以及居民点整理项目的实施提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: Abstract: This paper focused on the time-series arrangements when implementing regional rural residential land readjustment (RRLR) and its relation to regional potential of RRLR. By using a simplified reality-modifying per capita construction land quota method, we estimated the regional RRLR's realistic potential, on which we proposed the regional important index of RRLR. Afterwards, we further proposed the regional urgent index of RRLR and presented an indicator system to evaluate it. Then, the prioritization matrix was introduced and a prioritization matrix for regional RRLR's time-series arrangements was established. Finally, we conducted a case study of Rugao city, Jiangsu province. Results showed that RRLR is crucial to support this city's transformation and sustainable development of its high-growth economy and rapid-changing society. The total realistic potential of RRLR for Rugao was 14859.87 hm2, accounting for 46.73 percent of the rural residential land and 56.71 percent of the theoretic potential, and that the 20 towns could be divided into four types which differ in their priority to carry out the RRLR projects. The top priority zone contains four towns that are mostly the city's growth pools, and the total RRLR's realistic potential is 3958.04hm2, which accounts for 26.63 percent of the whole city's total realistic potential. The second priority zone contains two towns that are in urgent need for construction land quotas and increasing regional arable land; their total RRLR's realistic potential is 926.87 hm2, only 6.24 percent. The third priority zone contains five towns that has much realistic potential but is not in urgent need for urban construction and arable land requirements; their realistic potential is 4539.31 hm2 that accounts for 30.55 percent of the whole. The last priority zone contain 9 towns that have relatively low potential and less urgent need, their total RRLR's realistic potential is 5435.64 hm2, 36.58 percent of the whole potential. Total realistic potential of the top priority zone and the second priority zone is enough to cover the urban construction land requirements of Rugao city in the coming nine years. To further increase Rugao's arable land, RRLR in the third priority zone should be paid more attention. To better motivate each stakeholder's initiative, this paper suggests that we use RRLR-related funds and construction land quotas as the incentives, and that more funds and quotas should be provided for the top priority zone, less funds and enough quotas for the second priority zone, more funds but less quotas for the third priority zone, and provide no active support for the last priority zone. This research presents some guides and policy implications for the regional planning of RRLR projects in Rugao City and similar regions.

       

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