The Effect Assessment of Integrated Rural Energy Development and the Application of Grey System Method

This paper studies the effect assessment method that need to be solved urgently in integrated rural energy development, and emphesizes to research the future effect assessment approach. The paper presents that the effect of integrated development is assessed by the integrated index, at the same time, the effect is divided into the present effect and future effect, thereby, the concepts of the present effect and future effect assessment are put forward. Finally, the forecasting method of Grey System applied to establish a future effect assessment model, and it is used to the effect assessment of the integrated rural energy development in a sample county in Guangdong Province.